Sunday, January 4, 2026

No, This Was Not a Conquest of Venezuela

People keep saying, “Trump conquered Venezuela.”
That word is doing too much. and explaining too little.

What happened is not conquest in the historical sense. It is not annexation. It is not colonization with flags and governors and settlers.

It is something colder, more familiar, and far more American.

This is about drugs and access to resources.

Let’s be precise.


Conquest looks like ownership. This looks like leverage.

When a country conquers another, it absorbs territory, populations, and long‑term responsibility. Borders move. Sovereignty ends.

That is not what the United States has done here.

What the Trump administration has done is remove a head of state, apply overwhelming military pressure offshore, and declare itself the temporary manager of conditions until outcomes favorable to U.S. interests are secured.

That is not conquest. That is control without custody.

The language tells on itself.

“We’re going to run the country until…”
“Judicious transition.”
“Peace, liberty, and justice.”

These are not words of empire. They are words of intervention with an exit clause.


Reason One: Drugs

The first justification has been consistent, even when the narrative shifts: narco‑trafficking.

Maduro and his wife were not framed as wartime enemies. They were framed as criminals.

Captured. Transported. Charged.

That matters.

The United States did not declare war on Venezuela. It executed what it claims is an international law‑enforcement action, backed by military force.

This is the DEA model scaled up to a nation‑state.

Label the leadership criminal. Remove them physically. Destabilize the protection networks. Fracture the security apparatus. Force cooperation from whoever remains.

This is decapitation, not domination.


Reason Two: Resources . specifically oil

The second motive is not hidden. It was stated plainly.

Venezuela sits on 303 billion barrels of proven oil reserves. the largest on Earth.

Heavy, sour crude.

Exactly the kind of oil the United States needs but does not naturally produce in large quantities.

Control of access to that oil. who extracts it, who refines it, who profits from it, who stabilizes prices with it. is far more valuable than owning Venezuelan land outright.

You don’t need to conquer a country to benefit from its resources.

You just need:

  • A compliant transitional authority

  • Offshore military pressure

  • Sanctions relief as incentive

  • American companies positioned as “rebuilders”

That’s not conquest.

That’s asset management.


Why the U.S. does not want to “own” Venezuela

Ownership is expensive.

Running a country means:

  • Feeding people

  • Securing borders

  • Managing infrastructure

  • Absorbing blame for every failure

The U.S. learned that lesson the hard way in Iraq and Afghanistan.

This administration ran against forever wars.

So instead of ownership, the strategy is outsourced stability:

Apply force. Remove obstacles. Secure resource flows. Leave governance to locals who understand the terms.

If it collapses later, the U.S. can say it gave Venezuela a chance.

That is not how conquerors talk.

That is how investors talk.


Why calling it “conquest” is sloppy

Calling this a conquest makes it sound ideological.

It isn’t.

This is transactional.

Drugs threaten U.S. domestic stability.
Oil stabilizes U.S. economic power.

Everything else. the speeches, the moral framing, the talk of liberty. is narrative insulation.

Useful. Familiar. Optional.


Venezuela’s future is still unresolved

This is not democracy yet.

It is not even regime change in the full sense.

It is a forced opening.

The remaining power struggle inside Venezuela. between civilian elites, security forces, and the democratic opposition. will determine whether this becomes renewal or simply a reshuffling of the same system.

And whatever happens next, one thing is already settled:

President Trump owns the outcome.

Not because he conquered Venezuela.

But because he chose to touch it.

Conquest takes land. Control takes access. The second is cheaper. and more common.

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